Increases the probability of having an Active Hurricane Season

10 to 17 named storms, 9 to 5 hurricanes, and 2 to 4 intense hurricanes are now expected.

Tormentas

10 a 17

Huracanes

9 a 5

Huracanes Cat. 4 o mayor

2 a 4

The National Hurricane Center (NOAA) reported last week that it increased the chance of having a hurricane season above normal for the remainder of the year.

The El Niño phenomenon in the Pacific Ocean has come to an end, which will make the conditions in the Pacific Ocean a little more favorable for the development of tropical systems.

The probability that an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season is now 45% In May this year the NOAA said the probability of this was 30%

Fuente: NOAA

Disappearance of El Niño, with it will come strong cyclonic activity: specialist

The peak of the hurricane season begins in late August

The current season has behaved weakly, but it is not necessary to let your guard down , since the phenomenon of El Niño is close to disappearing and with this it will begin to take more forces cyclonic activity in the Atlantic Ocean.

The meteorologist of the Institutional Committee for the Attention of Extreme Meteorological Phenomena of the UADY, Juan Vázquez Montalvo, pointed out that, so far, the hurricane season has developed very weakly, presenting only one event in advance, in May, with the formation of the Hurricane Andrea and Barry, this month.

Danger

Vázquez Montalvo recalled that it is precisely in September when the Yucatan Peninsula has been vulnerable to major cyclones such as Gilberto and Isidoro, which hit the State in September.

“Since we no longer have the El Niño phenomenon, we will be in neutral conditions with tendencies for La Niña to form. During this period, the trend is to have explosive cyclone growth, which has not happened until now, "he insisted.

In this sense, he explained that El Niño with its cutting winds does not allow cyclones to form and there is an erratic behavior as it happened with Barry, which did not allow it to develop.

source: sipse.com

10 MOST COMMON ERRORS COMMITTED IN THE FACE OF A HURRICANE

  • Believe it won't happen . It is necessary to follow the instructions of those who are in control of the situation and periodically review the official communications issued by the relevant local authorities.
  • Put adhesive tape on sales. This will not prevent the glass from falling apart at all, the fragments represent a danger to the safety of people inside the property; It is recommended to cover the doors and windows with material resistant to sustained winds of 300 km / h or higher.
  • Place blocks or sandbags at the entrance of the door to prevent the entry of water. These only help divert the water.
  • Believing that those who live on the coast are the only ones who should evacuate. In the vast majority of times when it comes to hurricanes category 3 and up, you have to follow the instructions of the local authorities and not do Ignore their recommendations. IT'S FOR YOUR OWN SAFETY!
  • Open doors or windows a little bit. Hurricane winds are extremely turbulent and powerful so an open window or door (even if it's at the back of the house) can be a perfect space for the entry of the hot air that can incur this ( Video click ) as well as the entrance of debris transported by the wind.
  • Do the "Panic Shopping". For this it is important to be attentive to the media and to carry out our preparation. Normally we have up to more than 1 week to prepare and not leave everything At the last minute!
  • Placing wood (plywood) on doors and / or windows. As much as you believe that wood is the right thing to protect your home or business, you are in big error. Since hurricanes very easily tend to throw objects in the wind, such as trunks, metal sheets, spectacular, etc. Which become high speed projectiles that easily pierce the wood (plywood) or the wood (plywood) is pulled out. The key is anchoring and resistance to protect yourself properly.
  • Not having an Emergency Kit. It is essential to have the basic kit as well as having the protection of the documents that you consider important, it is recommended to have them in a bag and protect in an easily accessible waterproof backpack.
  • Do not cut off the electricity and butane gas supply. At the time that the local authorities give notice of Orange Alert (set when a tropical cyclone has approached such a distance that it predicts the imminent impact of the wind line). You must take the precaution of turning off the electrical box (it supplies electrical current to the home and / or business) as well as closing the stopcock from butane gas.
  • Get out of your shelter without prior notice from local authorities. You repeatedly make the mistake of leaving when you think the hurricane is over, and don't be careful! it is very likely that if you perceive a calm or “end” of the hurricane at that precise moment you will find yourself in the EYE OF THE HURRICANE . It is necessary to be attentive to the indications of the jurisdiction of your locality.